After a market recovery on Friday, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown minimal price fluctuation, with an increase of just 0.42% over the past day. The leading cryptocurrency is currently around $63,000 as investors await the customary bullish trend of “Uptober”. Reflecting on BTC’s potential future movements, CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC has identified crucial price points that investors should monitor.
Bitcoin Needs to Overcome Significant Resistance to Avoid Falling to $55,000
In a Quicktake post on Saturday, ShayanBTC provided valuable insights on the connection between Bitcoin’s Realized Price Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) Age Bands and possible market developments. The Realized Price UTXO Age Bands is an on-chain metric that sheds light on Bitcoin holders’ behaviors. Specifically, it indicates the average purchase price at which various categories of BTC investors acquired their coins.
ShayanBTC reported that the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders—those who have held BTC for three to six months—is currently set at $64,000, while long-term holders—those holding for 6-12 months—have a realized price of $55,000. The analyst notes that these realized price levels often act as significant support and resistance markers in the Bitcoin market since they denote the average cost basis for Bitcoin holders, thereby forming psychological price thresholds.
Given BTC’s current value of approximately $63,000, the $64,000 realized price for short-term holders represents a critical resistance level. A successful breakout above this point could signal the continuation of the asset’s current upward trend. Conversely, if BTC fails to exceed $64,000—potentially due to heightened selling pressure or macroeconomic influences—Shayan anticipates that the asset could decline to around $55,000, which corresponds to the long-term holders’ realized price level.
Notably, Shayan’s analysis aligns with Bitcoin’s daily chart, where the leading cryptocurrency has fluctuated between $55,000 and $65,000 for the past two months. Should BTC break free from this range-bound behavior, it will need to breach the resistance at $70,000, which could signal the onset of a market bull run.
BTC Network Fees Increased by 32%
In related news, Bitcoin has generated $5 million in network fees, marking a 32.4% increase over the last week. According to the analytics firm, IntoTheBlock, this trend suggests an uptick in network activity despite reduced market volatility.
As of this writing, the cryptocurrency leader is trading at $62,786, reflecting increases of 2.13% and 9.08% over the past week and month, respectively. At the same time, BTC’s daily trading volume is currently estimated at $17.57 billion, following a decline of 42.92%.
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